Each prize has been increased to 12 million Swedish kronor, and the Nobel Prize will be announced next week

The Nobel Selection Committee will announce the results starting next Monday afternoon.The winners of various categories are announced, in order: Physiology or Medicine, Physics, Chemistry, Literature, Peace and Economics. The award ceremony is scheduled to be held in Stockholm, the capital of Sweden, on December 10, the anniversary of Nobel’s death.

In 1895, Nobel donated his entire personal inheritance of approximately 31 million Swedish kronor in his will. He requested that this money be converted into a security fund, and the annual investment income would be paid directly as a bonus.

The investment strategy of the foundation has gradually moved from the initial conservative to global and diversified allocation.The Swedish government relaxed investment restrictions and gradually allowed the allocation of stocks and real estate, and later expanded to alternative assets such as private equity, private credit, and unlisted entity assets.In recent years, it has achieved explosive growth in assets. As of 2024, the foundation’s total assets have reached 6.797 billion Swedish krona, and the annualized return rate has been stable at more than 8% over the past ten years.

Last month, the Nobel Foundation decided that the prize money for each Nobel Prize will be increased by 1 million Swedish kronor (approximately 680,000 yuan) in 2026, reaching 12 million Swedish kronor (approximately 8.15 million yuan). According to past rules, the top three prizes are often divided equally among multiple people.

The core practical significance of the top three basic science awards of the Nobel Prize is to clarify the core progress direction of human civilization through the globally recognized highest honor system, thereby transforming it into a practical driving force that can be implemented. All popular candidates each year are predicted by global academic institutions, media and gambling lists based on the “Nobel Prize Benchmark” awards, academic contributions and award patterns in recent years.

Research on GLP-1 and orexin is considered the most important of the yearPrize in Physiology or MedicineThe areas with the greatest potential for competition,Popular scholars include three scientists, Daniel J. Drucker, Jens Juul Holst, and Svetlana Mojsov, who are the founders of research on GLP-1, the core mechanism of “diet drugs”; Masashi Yanagisawa, Emmanuel Mignot, who revealed the core molecular mechanism of sleep and wakefulness; and researchEndoplasmic reticulum stress and unfolded protein responseKazutoshi Mori and Peter Walter.

Popular candidates for the Physics Award include top European and American teams that have made foundational contributions in the fields of quantum computing and topological physics. In terms of the Chemistry Award, top chemists focusing on AI-assisted molecular simulation, green catalysis, and new energy storage materials are the mainstream popular candidates.

The Literary Award always pays attention to those creations that have been ignored by mainstream public opinion but deeply reflect the plight of the human spirit. Popular figures with higher odds this year include Chinese writer Can Xue, Japan’s Haruki Murakami, Chinese-Canadian writer Bella (Lei Shen), poet Anne Carson, Canadian writer Margaret Atwood, Indian writer Amitav Ghosh, and American writer Thomas Pynchon.

Because it has long deviated from the original neutral positioning of the Nobel Testament and gradually evolved into a soft power tool with a strong Western geopolitical tendency, coupled with the closed nature and double standards of the selection mechanism, the Peace Prize has become the most controversial and continues to be widely questioned around the world. Eligibility for nominations is limited to specific groups such as government officials, university professors, former laureates and members of the International Court of Justice. Popular candidates this year include Pope Leo XIV, the International Criminal Court and others.

Leaders of countries such as Cambodia, Israel and Pakistan had nominated US President Trump to run for office before September last year. Some of these countries have reached historic reconciliations under Trump’s auspices, while others are threatened by U.S. tariffs. butObservers who have long followed the Nobel Prize said,It’s almost impossible for him to win this year because the United States is at war with Iran.Selection committees often focus on the persistence of peace, advocacy of fraternity, and institutions that quietly advance these goals. However, Trump’s counter-trend style of repeatedly launching wars, clearly showing contempt for multilateral institutions, and ignoring global climate change have become disadvantageous factors.

According to statistics from the official website of the Nobel Prize, a total of 4 U.S. presidents and 1 vice president have won this award so far. Among these five people, except Roosevelt, the others are all Democrats.

特朗普It is believed that the Nobel Peace Prize is biased and only awarded to liberals while ignoring their actual contributions. He has repeatedly complained publicly that he has never won the award as a “peace president”, trying to enhance his historical status and gain more public support in his country by winning the award.Last year’s Nobel Peace Prize winner, Venezuelan Machado, later gave the medal to Trump.